Working group members:

Research coordinator:    B. Ergashev

National experts:   

Z. Davidovа

R. Jumaev

M. Ibragimov

V.Kazbekova

M.Mirzahamdamov

I.Shetinina

This report reflects opinions and views of the working group, which may not coincide with the official point of Center for Economic Research.

© Center for economic research, 2009

All copyrights belong to the Center for Economic research. Any presentation of this report or use of its parts can only be done with the written permission; reference to the source is a must. With regard to the questions about copying, translation or acquisition of the printed versions, please refer to the following address: center for Economic Studies, Uzbekistan, Tashkent, 100070, Usman Nosir Str., alley 1, building 5

Summary

Relevance of this study is determined by existing two long-term trends that will set up prospects for the development of Uzbekistan. Firstly, this is a demographic population growth, and secondly, increasing shortage of water and land resources.

According to the forecasts, by 2025 rural population will estimated at 22,2 mln. people, and given the existing size of agricultural lands and increase of production rate, the number of employed in agriculture will fall down from current 3 mln people to 2 mln people. For the sake of social and political stability, there is a need to find solutions for efficient absorption of work force that is coined in the rural area.

To our mind, only industrial and innovative development and rapid urbanization, that is part of it, are able to respond effectively to the existing challenges. Therefore, the task is to shape a long term strategy for industrial and innovative development and relevant State policy for rapid urbanization of the nation. This analytical note illustrates preliminary vision of the issues and prospects of urbanization in long-term and short-term period.

文件下载：Urbanization and industrialization in Uzbekistan: challenges, problems and prospects